Sports betting can be extremely profitable if a person know the strategies typically the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make money. One of the biggest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use will be knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a great example of this. I actually analyzed typically the West Virginia vs. Louisville sport, and concluded the fact that West Va had the particular edge in the sport. Nonetheless I also came to the realization that there are a lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not gamble on this specific game. Here is the analysis I released just before the game:
West Florida vs . Louisville
This activity offers all the signals of being one of the most effective games involving the year, with the two teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, using Rest of the world Virginia coming rear from getting down huge in the fourth 1 fourth to winning in overtime.
So what’s the action look like this year?
When this game were turning into played on some sort of simple field, West Va would likely probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia is on an unprecedented spin. That they haven’t lost considering July. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they missing to Florida Tech. Through the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 ROAD games.
These are some very outstanding stats that tilt often the scales in favor regarding WVU with regard to tonight’s games. Plus, typically the additional benefit is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This may not look like very much, but in a close match-up like this, that special point will certainly make the big difference between some sort of push together with a loss.
But you may be wondering what regarding Louisville?
Louisville’s numbers are usually almost as good because WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In his or her last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS in their final 10 home games.
And if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in the home since Dec 16, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. some points every game in your own home, while hitting only leaving behind 15. seven points each game on home. In case a person failed to do the mathmatical, that means since his or her last home loss they already have averaged beating their own competitors by means of about thirty four factors per game.
Even greater impressive, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten often the divide, on average, by way of 13 details per sport at home considering that 2003.
Wow… how can you go against that?
The majority of those stats were being piled up during the 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They have already got recent games that has they’ve only scored 28, twenty-three, 24 points. And the game titles weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. Many people were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.
Basically that will this is still the close video game to call. Nonetheless what I look intended for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s simply no purpose to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to middle 20’s. My honest endorsement is definitely to lay off this specific game and not gamble at all. There happen to be better video games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut strengths.
The final score of this game was Louisville 44, West Va 34. 먹튀폴리스 won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to return a punt for the TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s fringe was not so big they will can still win right after producing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this game, people really serious with regards to gambling saved money they will can put to better apply on upcoming games.